Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +11 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | NOLA -4.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -3.1 (-7.9) | 143.3 (-0.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -4.3 (-6.7) | 144.3 (-1.3) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -3.9 (-7.1) | 146.5 (-3.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -4.3 (-6.7) | 145.9 (-2.9) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | NOLA 73 – 60 HCU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | HCU 61 – 60 NOLA |
| Dec 6, 2025 | HCU 85 – 76 NOLA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | HCU 81 – 68 NOLA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | HCU 86 – 76 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 10-4 |
| Home | 7-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#342) | -5.8 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#335) | -0.85 (#250) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.00 (#334) | -0.96 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#311) | 0.431 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 24.2% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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