Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +5 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -11.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -9.3 (-4.3) | 125.2 (-16.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -8.2 (-3.2) | 125.6 (-16.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -9.0 (-4.0) | 125.4 (-16.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -8.2 (-3.2) | 126.9 (-17.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCI 78 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCI 81 – 77 CSUB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCI 73 – 64 CSUB |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCI 82 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UCI 77 – 71 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-10 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 2-12 |
| Home | 9-1 | 5-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.4 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#117) | -4.6 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#161) | -1.01 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#151) | -1.08 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#114) | 0.455 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 33.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.