Betting Lines
| Spread | SAC -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +1 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | SAC -11.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -7.3 (-6.3) | 133.2 (-12.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -9.3 (-8.3) | 134.9 (-13.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -8.8 (-7.8) | 134.6 (-13.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -8.7 (-7.7) | 135.4 (-14.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SAC 83 – 65 IDST |
| Jan 2, 2026 | IDST 97 – 84 SAC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | IDST 83 – 66 SAC |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SAC 75 – 71 IDST |
| Feb 9, 2024 | IDST 68 – 40 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 5-15 |
| Home | 6-8 | 5-8 |
| Away | 4-9 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -9.0 (#311) | -16.6 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#321) | -3.62 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#297) | -4.14 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#321) | 0.345 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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