Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +12 | 188 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -15.1 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (+29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -14.2 (+2.2) | 163.9 (+24.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -14.2 (+2.2) | 159.3 (+28.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -13.9 (+1.9) | 158.9 (+29.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -13.5 (+1.5) | 158.3 (+29.7) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OMA 73 – 62 ORU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OMA 80 – 57 ORU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | OMA 84 – 76 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | OMA 71 – 70 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-5 |
| Away | 0-15 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.4 | 77.8 |
| Massey | -15.7 (#350) | 2.8 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#342) | 0.35 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.32 (#342) | 0.81 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.391 (#331) | 0.515 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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