Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +2 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -3.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -3.2 (+5.2) | 138.7 (-20.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -1.7 (+3.7) | 138.9 (-20.9) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -2.3 (+4.3) | 138.3 (-20.3) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -2.1 (+4.1) | 139.9 (-21.9) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 28, 2025 | COLO 81 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 25, 2024 | COLO 98 – 81 WASH |
| Dec 30, 2023 | COLO 73 – 69 WASH |
| Mar 8, 2023 | COLO 74 – 68 WASH |
| Jan 20, 2023 | WASH 75 – 72 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#157) | 6.7 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#121) | 1.70 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#125) | 2.07 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#108) | 0.562 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 76.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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