Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -6.2 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -4.9 (+1.9) | 150.0 (-17.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -5.3 (+2.3) | 148.0 (-15.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -4.7 (+1.7) | 152.0 (-19.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -4.6 (+1.6) | 151.1 (-18.1) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | UAB 72 – 60 WKU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | WKU 80 – 78 UAB |
| Mar 12, 2021 | WKU 64 – 60 UAB |
Game Analysis
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