Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | WKU -125 UAB +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +4 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -1.7 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -0.3 (+4.3) | 135.3 (-11.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -0.1 (+3.9) | 134.1 (-10.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -0.6 (+4.6) | 135.9 (-11.9) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -1.0 (+5.0) | 134.2 (-10.2) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2023 | UAB 72 – 60 WKU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | WKU 80 – 78 UAB |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UAB 68 – 65 WKU |
Game Analysis
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