Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | WKU +188 UAB -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +12 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | UAB -5.4 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.3 (-23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -4.1 (-7.9) | 153.5 (-21.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -4.9 (-7.1) | 154.0 (-22.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -4.2 (-7.8) | 155.2 (-23.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -3.9 (-8.1) | 155.7 (-23.7) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 12, 2023 | WKU 80 – 78 UAB |
| Jan 28, 2022 | UAB 68 – 65 WKU |
| Mar 12, 2021 | WKU 64 – 60 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 29-10 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 17-2 |
| Away | 5-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#165) | 9.2 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#153) | 1.31 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#174) | 1.75 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#184) | 0.549 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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