Space travel's in my blood. "Another Girl, Another Planet" - The Only Ones
Conference USA · Bartow Arena · January 12, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UAB -10.5 Away covered
O/U 151.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total UAB win
Actual WKU +2 158 Lost
Massey UAB -14.3 (-16.3) — —
Massey Totals — 157.9 (+0.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 85% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML UAB -10.7 (-12.7) 152.0 (+6.0) 86% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UAB -12.5 (-14.5) 152.6 (+5.4) 84% ✗
Baseline Plus ML UAB -11.7 (-13.7) 152.8 (+5.2) 83% ✗
Baseline ML UAB -11.7 (-13.7) 152.6 (+5.4) 80% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2023 UAB 72 – 60 WKU
Jan 28, 2022 UAB 68 – 65 WKU
Mar 12, 2021 WKU 64 – 60 UAB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UAB WKU
Overall 29-10 17-16
Conference 14-6 8-12
Home 17-2 9-5
Away 7-5 5-9
Neutral 5-3 3-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.0 69.7
Avg Pts Against 70.7 71.6
Massey 9.3 (#51) -0.8 (#190)
Bradley-Terry 1.13 (#77) 0.12 (#172)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.57 (#73) -0.12 (#188)
RPI 0.565 (#69) 0.500 (#178)
Shooting & Four Factors UAB WKU
FG% 46.5% 44.4%
3PT% 36.2% 34.5%
REB / G 40.9 33.5
OREB / G 13.7 8.8
AST / TO 1.18 1.26
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.1% 50.6%
TOV% 18.1% 16.2%
ORB% 36.6% 25.6%
FT Rate 28.5% 22.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.7% 49.0%
Opp TOV% 21.3% 18.8%
DRB% 69.3% 69.2%
Opp FT Rate 22.4% 19.6%

Game Analysis

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