Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -7.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -4.6 (-9.6) | 140.7 (+4.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -4.2 (-9.2) | 142.9 (+2.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -4.1 (-9.1) | 142.1 (+2.9) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -4.1 (-9.1) | 142.5 (+2.5) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TNST 80 – 53 SIUE |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SIUE 74 – 66 TNST |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SIUE 71 – 69 TNST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SIUE 84 – 72 TNST |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SIUE 87 – 80 TNST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#260) | -8.7 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#292) | -1.81 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#290) | -2.32 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#280) | 0.379 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.9% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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