Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | MONM -700 CAN +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -15.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -9.5 (-4.5) | 139.9 (-0.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -10.5 (-5.5) | 140.7 (-1.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -11.5 (-6.5) | 139.0 (+0.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -10.8 (-5.8) | 141.0 (-2.0) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2021 | MONM 79 – 65 CAN |
| Dec 28, 2020 | MONM 97 – 69 CAN |
| Dec 27, 2020 | MONM 84 – 66 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 10-7 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.3 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#105) | -7.1 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#84) | -0.95 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#91) | -1.67 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#54) | 0.453 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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