Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
| Money | MONM -250 CAN +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +28 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -8.8 (+19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -4.7 (+23.3) | 147.4 (+18.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -6.1 (+21.9) | 150.4 (+15.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -7.2 (+20.8) | 151.3 (+14.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -7.1 (+20.9) | 151.4 (+14.6) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2022 | MONM 72 – 67 CAN |
| Dec 5, 2021 | MONM 79 – 65 CAN |
| Dec 27, 2020 | MONM 84 – 66 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-8 | 7-6 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-5 |
| Home | 7-2 | 3-1 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#170) | -5.5 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#159) | -0.60 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#157) | -1.17 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#138) | 0.483 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 64.1% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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