Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +18 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | MONM -2.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -1.8 (+16.2) | 148.7 (+1.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -1.7 (+16.3) | 153.6 (-3.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -2.4 (+15.6) | 153.5 (-3.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -2.3 (+15.7) | 153.4 (-3.4) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2022 | MONM 72 – 67 CAN |
| Dec 5, 2021 | MONM 79 – 65 CAN |
| Dec 28, 2020 | MONM 97 – 69 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-8 | 7-6 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-5 |
| Home | 7-2 | 3-1 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#229) | -2.2 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#189) | 0.23 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#182) | 0.29 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#173) | 0.637 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 21.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.6% | 26.4% |
| DRB% | 62.0% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.7% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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