Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +4 | 114 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -8.3 (-12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -6.8 (-10.8) | 131.7 (-17.7) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -5.7 (-9.7) | 135.6 (-21.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -5.6 (-9.6) | 134.4 (-20.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -5.5 (-9.5) | 129.9 (-15.9) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | UCSD 72 – 69 CP |
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCSD 80 – 64 CP |
| Jan 2, 2026 | CP 67 – 65 UCSD |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UCSD 81 – 67 CP |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UCSD 95 – 68 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 7-21 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 2-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 4-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#248) | -9.2 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#254) | -2.20 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#236) | -2.32 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#258) | 0.387 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 5.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 17.8% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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