I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Santa Clara Broncos
77 – 76
FINAL Conference
BYU Cougars
West Coast Conference · Leavey Center · January 28, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread BYU -3.0 Home covered
O/U 150.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCU win
Actual SCU +1 153 Won
Massey BYU -1.7 (+2.7) — —
Massey Totals — 153.0 (-0.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 30% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 27% ✗
Baseline Plus ML BYU -0.6 (+1.6) 154.2 (-1.2) 51% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BYU -2.8 (+3.8) 152.6 (+0.4) 42% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BYU -1.2 (+2.2) 152.3 (+0.7) 46% ✗
Baseline ML BYU -0.7 (+1.7) 153.5 (-0.5) 49% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 17, 2023 SCU 81 – 74 BYU
Jan 20, 2023 SCU 83 – 76 BYU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCU BYU
Overall 21-12 24-11
Conference 10-5 9-6
Home 14-4 14-3
Away 5-6 6-5
Neutral 2-2 4-3
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 77.3 73.8
Avg Pts Against 71.9 69.0
Massey 6.3 (#87) 11.4 (#32)
Bradley-Terry 1.06 (#94) 2.48 (#29)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.56 (#83) 3.18 (#26)
RPI 0.551 (#89) 0.639 (#9)
Shooting & Four Factors SCU BYU
FG% 48.5% 44.2%
3PT% 37.6% 35.2%
REB / G 34.9 40.3
OREB / G 7.7 11.4
AST / TO 1.26 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.6% 50.7%
TOV% 17.0% 18.4%
ORB% 23.8% 32.8%
FT Rate 20.6% 21.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.9% 45.2%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 15.7%
DRB% 71.5% 75.9%
Opp FT Rate 15.5% 20.8%

Game Analysis

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