And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
BYU Cougars
74 – 81
FINAL Conference
Santa Clara Broncos
West Coast Conference · Marriott Center · February 17, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread BYU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money BYU -225 / SCU +170
Model Predictions
Spread Total BYU win
Actual SCU +7 155 Lost
Massey BYU -4.9 (-11.9) — —
Massey Totals — 147.6 (+7.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 47% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 52% ✗
Baseline Plus ML BYU -4.0 (-11.0) 150.0 (+5.0) 67% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BYU -3.7 (-10.7) 147.0 (+8.0) 71% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BYU -4.1 (-11.1) 148.6 (+6.4) 67% ✗
Baseline ML BYU -3.9 (-10.9) 151.2 (+3.8) 69% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 20, 2023 SCU 83 – 76 BYU
Jan 28, 2022 SCU 77 – 76 BYU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BYU SCU
Overall 19-15 23-10
Conference 7-9 11-5
Home 12-4 14-4
Away 2-7 6-3
Neutral 4-4 3-3
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 74.1 77.3
Avg Pts Against 70.1 73.8
Massey 6.6 (#84) 5.4 (#93)
Bradley-Terry 0.67 (#112) 1.43 (#62)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.11 (#101) 1.80 (#61)
RPI 0.529 (#124) 0.559 (#70)
Shooting & Four Factors BYU SCU
FG% 44.8% 44.8%
3PT% 32.0% 36.6%
REB / G 37.9 37.8
OREB / G 10.7 11.0
AST / TO 0.94 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 51.5%
TOV% 20.9% 18.0%
ORB% 30.9% 31.5%
FT Rate 22.7% 22.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 19.3% 16.9%
DRB% 76.7% 75.3%
Opp FT Rate 25.5% 17.2%

Game Analysis

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