Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -154 BYU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +7 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -3.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -3.4 (+3.6) | 144.9 (+14.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -3.8 (+3.2) | 144.9 (+14.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -3.8 (+3.2) | 145.4 (+13.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -3.9 (+3.1) | 144.7 (+14.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2023 | SCU 81 – 74 BYU |
| Jan 28, 2022 | SCU 77 – 76 BYU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 7-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-3 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#87) | 6.2 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#57) | 0.96 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#57) | 1.46 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#51) | 0.536 (#110) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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