Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Detroit Mercy Titans
80 67
FINAL Conference
UIC Flames
Horizon League · Calihan Hall · January 28, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread DETM -5.5 Home covered
O/U 143.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total DETM win
Actual DETM +13 147 Won
Massey DETM -7.9 (+5.1)
Massey Totals 143.4 (+3.6)
Bradley-Terry 67%
Weighted B-T 78%
Efficiency Plus ML DETM -6.3 (+6.7) 141.4 (+5.6) 74%
Baseline Tuned ML DETM -5.4 (+7.6) 143.6 (+3.4) 74%
Baseline ML DETM -5.2 (+7.8) 143.5 (+3.5) 73%
Baseline Plus ML DETM -5.7 (+7.3) 142.5 (+4.5) 74%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 4, 2025 UIC 9171 DETM
Dec 5, 2021 DETM 6456 UIC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DETM UIC
Overall 14-16 14-16
Conference 10-7 9-10
Home 9-1 6-6
Away 5-15 8-8
Neutral 0-0 0-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.9 71.3
Avg Pts Against 71.2 73.7
Massey -2.1 (#215) -6.6 (#281)
Bradley-Terry -1.24 (#274) -1.38 (#285)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.37 (#271) -1.98 (#295)
RPI 0.462 (#234) 0.431 (#293)
Shooting & Four Factors DETM UIC
FG% 42.4% 43.1%
3PT% 36.0% 30.7%
REB / G 32.6 31.8
OREB / G 9.5 9.0
AST / TO 0.91 1.21
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.9% 50.2%
TOV% 18.5% 17.1%
ORB% 27.9% 25.5%
FT Rate 17.5% 13.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.1% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 19.7% 17.5%
DRB% 70.6% 70.5%
Opp FT Rate 18.9% 27.8%

Game Analysis

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