Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +8 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -13.2 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -11.9 (+3.9) | 144.2 (-2.2) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -13.1 (+5.1) | 146.7 (-4.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -12.7 (+4.7) | 147.9 (-5.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -12.6 (+4.6) | 146.4 (-4.4) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2022 | BEL 72 – 58 APSU |
| Jan 29, 2021 | BEL 81 – 76 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APSU | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-17 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 6-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 6-11 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#273) | 10.6 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#308) | 1.98 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#299) | 2.26 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#306) | 0.591 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APSU | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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