The black queen chants the funeral march, the cracked brass bells will ring / To summon back the fire witch to the court of the crimson king "The Court of the Crimson King" - King Crimson
Big Ten Conference · Williams Arena · January 28, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread OSU -6.0 Away covered
O/U 134.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total MINN win
Actual OSU +11 139 Lost
Massey OSU -1.4 (-9.6) — —
Massey Totals — 141.6 (-2.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 46% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 38% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OSU -1.5 (-9.5) 136.1 (+2.9) 37% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OSU -1.8 (-9.2) 140.3 (-1.3) 43% ✓
Baseline ML OSU -1.0 (-10.0) 138.7 (+0.3) 41% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OSU -0.9 (-10.1) 137.2 (+1.8) 47% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 20, 2026 OSU 82 – 74 MINN
Jan 7, 2025 OSU 89 – 88 MINN
Feb 23, 2024 MINN 88 – 79 OSU
Dec 3, 2023 OSU 84 – 74 MINN
Jan 12, 2023 MINN 70 – 67 OSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MINN OSU
Overall 13-17 20-12
Conference 4-16 12-8
Home 8-7 13-3
Away 3-9 5-6
Neutral 2-1 2-3
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L5 L1
Avg Pts For 67.0 72.8
Avg Pts Against 69.2 67.7
Massey 6.5 (#82) 11.4 (#33)
Bradley-Terry 1.94 (#52) 2.65 (#25)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.25 (#56) 3.37 (#22)
RPI 0.593 (#38) 0.622 (#18)
Shooting & Four Factors MINN OSU
FG% 45.8% 48.3%
3PT% 35.7% 38.0%
REB / G 32.4 35.2
OREB / G 6.5 8.4
AST / TO 1.29 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.3% 56.3%
TOV% 14.6% 18.5%
ORB% 19.1% 27.9%
FT Rate 17.8% 26.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.1% 46.2%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 16.6%
DRB% 72.4% 72.2%
Opp FT Rate 15.7% 21.8%

Game Analysis

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