Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -800 EIU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +5 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -16.5 (-21.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -11.9 (-16.9) | 130.3 (-19.3) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -12.2 (-17.2) | 130.8 (-19.8) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -13.1 (-18.1) | 130.7 (-19.7) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -13.4 (-18.4) | 132.6 (-21.6) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UTM 66 – 63 EIU |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UTM 76 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UTM 65 – 61 EIU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UTM 72 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UTM 68 – 63 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 3-15 |
| Home | 5-8 | 4-9 |
| Away | 2-13 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L7 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 54.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#288) | -20.1 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#286) | -4.72 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#287) | -6.03 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#276) | 0.335 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 36.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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