Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +3 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -5.8 (+8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -7.0 (+10.0) | 142.9 (-15.9) | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -6.2 (+9.2) | 144.4 (-17.4) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -5.5 (+8.5) | 144.1 (-17.1) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -5.3 (+8.3) | 144.3 (-17.3) | 29% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIU 80 – 59 CCSU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIU 84 – 78 CCSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CCSU 63 – 50 LIU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | LIU 54 – 52 CCSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CCSU 78 – 64 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-7 | 12-1 |
| Away | 4-15 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#345) | -4.4 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.70 (#339) | -1.16 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.17 (#337) | -1.30 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#341) | 0.461 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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