I want the bomb, I want the P-Funk, I want my funk uncut. "P-Funk (Wants to Get Funked Up)" - Parliament
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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45–28 on winners spread MAE 7.3 73 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Murray State @ Tennessee Tech -12.4 142.9 14% 80–75 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Marshall -3.2 144.7 35% 81–79 ✓
Saint Francis @ Wagner +17.2 147.0 89% 54–69 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Sacred Heart +3.2 147.7 58% 71–66 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Fairleigh Dickinson -5.9 137.4 24% 67–56 ✓
Long Island University @ Central Connecticut -5.5 144.1 29% 62–65 ✗
Merrimack @ Bryant +8.3 134.8 80% 67–76 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ UNC Asheville +1.6 139.0 55% 61–55 ✗
North Alabama @ Liberty +14.7 136.2 88% 53–72 ✓
Lipscomb @ Jacksonville +7.0 137.7 76% 59–66 ✓
UIC @ Detroit Mercy +5.2 143.5 73% 67–80 ✓
Milwaukee @ Robert Morris -0.5 143.9 45% 53–77 ✗
Green Bay @ Youngstown State +6.5 138.8 72% 50–63 ✓
Little Rock @ Coastal Carolina +10.6 146.1 84% 49–65 ✓
Drexel @ James Madison +1.1 151.5 57% 88–82 ✗
Hofstra @ Charleston -2.1 155.3 43% 76–73 ✓
Northeastern @ UNC Wilmington +5.9 141.2 78% 62–67 ✓
William & Mary @ Elon +7.0 144.3 75% 54–61 ✓
Delaware @ Towson +7.6 146.3 76% 0–0 ✗
Rice @ Louisiana Tech +10.2 152.4 80% 63–80 ✓
Bellarmine @ Stetson -2.2 136.0 36% 72–47 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw State +1.8 143.3 54% 70–64 ✗
Georgia Southern @ UL Monroe +0.9 142.1 50% 50–45 ✗
Ohio State @ Minnesota -1.0 138.7 41% 75–64 ✓
Ball State @ Northern Illinois +0.6 146.2 52% 74–67 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Southern Illinois -7.8 127.7 24% 44–39 ✓
Florida International @ UTSA -4.3 136.3 32% 66–73 ✗
North Texas @ Southern Miss -14.0 127.2 12% 63–54 ✓
Weber State @ Northern Colorado -0.4 160.0 45% 85–76 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Houston Christian -3.9 146.5 29% 77–66 ✓
Utah Valley @ Chicago State -12.1 133.9 14% 101–87 ✓
Central Arkansas @ North Florida +5.2 147.4 69% 74–93 ✓
Texas State @ UT Arlington -1.8 139.0 42% 58–70 ✗
Troy @ South Alabama +5.1 135.8 72% 63–82 ✓
Georgia State @ Louisiana +5.9 144.1 73% 68–64 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Omaha -13.9 158.9 13% 100–88 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota +1.5 147.0 60% 74–62 ✗
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +21.9 160.9 91% 61–96 ✓
Tennessee State @ SIU Edwardsville +4.1 142.1 62% 75–70 ✗
Belmont @ Austin Peay -12.7 147.9 14% 75–67 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State +3.6 147.9 65% 70–79 ✓
Nicholls @ McNeese -2.2 150.4 39% 81–71 ✓
Purdue @ Iowa +1.1 156.2 53% 83–73 ✗
California @ UCLA +14.8 137.2 88% 57–81 ✓
East Carolina @ Memphis +10.5 150.8 85% 54–71 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis +0.5 142.3 49% 74–58 ✗
Morehead State @ Southeast Missouri State -5.4 153.0 25% 74–73 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ UT Martin +13.1 130.7 84% 58–53 ✗
UAB @ Western Kentucky -4.6 151.1 30% 68–65 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UTEP +1.4 137.6 60% 68–70 ✓
Idaho @ Montana +10.3 146.7 84% 62–81 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana State +6.1 150.2 75% 65–69 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ SE Louisiana +0.3 148.7 53% 86–71 ✗
Kansas City @ Denver +1.5 141.8 57% 72–61 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Irvine +9.0 125.4 80% 52–57 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +5.6 134.4 67% 59–55 ✗
Long Beach State @ UC Riverside +4.5 136.9 64% 68–62 ✗
Southern Utah @ Portland State -5.4 146.7 30% 85–82 ✓
Idaho State @ Sacramento State +8.8 134.6 83% 60–61 ✓
Pacific @ Portland +5.4 137.0 74% 56–64 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Francisco +3.4 133.5 67% 72–70 ✗
Pepperdine @ San Diego +8.7 140.1 83% 56–64 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Gonzaga +24.1 156.9 91% 55–89 ✓
Stanford @ USC +10.3 140.1 82% 64–61 ✗
Colorado @ Washington -2.3 138.3 43% 58–60 ✗
BYU @ Santa Clara -0.7 153.5 49% 76–77 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Hawai'i +13.4 131.4 88% 65–72 ✓
Colgate @ Boston University +0.7 141.6 50% 72–76 ✓
Lehigh @ Holy Cross -4.6 140.8 29% 65–67 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Harvard +1.9 147.3 62% 78–74 ✗
Stony Brook @ New Hampshire +1.1 141.1 50% 76–69 ✗
Canisius @ Monmouth +11.5 139.0 86% 67–72 ✓
Wyoming @ Air Force -7.7 131.9 20% 63–61 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.