With fingernails that shine like justice, and a voice that is dark like tinted glass. "Short Skirt Long Jacket" - Cake
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
46–27 on winners spread MAE 7.5 73 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Murray State @ Tennessee Tech -13.2 140.4 12% 80–75 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Marshall -4.2 148.9 35% 81–79 ✓
Saint Francis @ Wagner +20.2 144.3 97% 54–69 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Sacred Heart +3.6 144.8 63% 71–66 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Fairleigh Dickinson -4.6 135.2 34% 67–56 ✓
Long Island University @ Central Connecticut -6.3 144.4 28% 62–65 ✗
Merrimack @ Bryant +9.9 132.2 82% 67–76 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ UNC Asheville +1.1 134.8 54% 61–55 ✗
North Alabama @ Liberty +14.6 128.6 91% 53–72 ✓
Lipscomb @ Jacksonville +6.4 136.2 72% 59–66 ✓
UIC @ Detroit Mercy +7.9 143.5 76% 67–80 ✓
Milwaukee @ Robert Morris +1.2 141.8 54% 53–77 ✓
Green Bay @ Youngstown State +9.3 134.8 80% 50–63 ✓
Little Rock @ Coastal Carolina +13.9 146.1 90% 49–65 ✓
Drexel @ James Madison +1.6 148.7 56% 88–82 ✗
Hofstra @ Charleston -2.0 161.7 43% 76–73 ✓
Northeastern @ UNC Wilmington +5.8 132.0 70% 62–67 ✓
William & Mary @ Elon +9.1 141.1 80% 54–61 ✓
Delaware @ Towson +8.7 144.4 78% 0–0 ✗
Rice @ Louisiana Tech +10.6 153.5 83% 63–80 ✓
Bellarmine @ Stetson -1.7 131.6 44% 72–47 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Kennesaw State +0.5 141.7 52% 70–64 ✗
Georgia Southern @ UL Monroe +0.0 144.7 50% 50–45 ✗
Ohio State @ Minnesota -1.7 141.9 44% 75–64 ✓
Ball State @ Northern Illinois +0.3 140.7 51% 74–67 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Southern Illinois -6.4 125.7 28% 44–39 ✓
Florida International @ UTSA -5.6 135.3 31% 66–73 ✗
North Texas @ Southern Miss -16.1 117.3 7% 63–54 ✓
Weber State @ Northern Colorado +2.4 158.8 59% 85–76 ✗
LSU New Orleans @ Houston Christian -4.9 143.6 33% 77–66 ✓
Utah Valley @ Chicago State -13.6 128.9 11% 101–87 ✓
Central Arkansas @ North Florida +7.9 151.5 76% 74–93 ✓
Texas State @ UT Arlington -1.8 133.4 43% 58–70 ✗
Troy @ South Alabama +7.2 137.2 74% 63–82 ✓
Georgia State @ Louisiana +9.0 146.6 79% 68–64 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Omaha -15.3 158.9 8% 100–88 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota +1.7 139.9 56% 74–62 ✗
North Dakota @ South Dakota State +25.6 166.6 99% 61–96 ✓
Tennessee State @ SIU Edwardsville +7.2 143.1 74% 75–70 ✗
Belmont @ Austin Peay -13.6 146.9 11% 75–67 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State +6.4 148.5 72% 70–79 ✓
Nicholls @ McNeese -2.1 151.7 43% 81–71 ✓
Purdue @ Iowa -1.6 164.2 44% 83–73 ✓
California @ UCLA +16.2 133.4 93% 57–81 ✓
East Carolina @ Memphis +13.1 152.1 88% 54–71 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis +1.2 141.7 54% 74–58 ✗
Morehead State @ Southeast Missouri State -6.3 153.1 28% 74–73 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ UT Martin +17.0 128.6 94% 58–53 ✗
UAB @ Western Kentucky -5.9 151.4 29% 68–65 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UTEP +0.8 134.0 53% 68–70 ✓
Idaho @ Montana +11.8 147.8 86% 62–81 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana State +7.6 149.7 76% 65–69 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ SE Louisiana +1.6 148.1 56% 86–71 ✗
Kansas City @ Denver +2.9 133.6 60% 72–61 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Irvine +10.0 115.7 82% 52–57 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC San Diego +8.1 131.0 77% 59–55 ✗
Long Beach State @ UC Riverside +6.5 137.3 72% 68–62 ✗
Southern Utah @ Portland State -5.2 143.1 32% 85–82 ✓
Idaho State @ Sacramento State +11.2 124.7 84% 60–61 ✓
Pacific @ Portland +6.8 136.1 73% 56–64 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Francisco +1.8 125.2 56% 72–70 ✗
Pepperdine @ San Diego +10.0 137.7 82% 56–64 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Gonzaga +28.7 155.5 100% 55–89 ✓
Stanford @ USC +11.6 139.8 85% 64–61 ✗
Colorado @ Washington -2.8 138.2 40% 58–60 ✗
BYU @ Santa Clara -2.3 152.7 42% 76–77 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Hawai'i +15.3 129.4 92% 65–72 ✓
Colgate @ Boston University +1.2 139.3 54% 72–76 ✓
Lehigh @ Holy Cross -4.7 139.5 34% 65–67 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Harvard +3.5 146.9 62% 78–74 ✗
Stony Brook @ New Hampshire +2.9 140.5 60% 76–69 ✗
Canisius @ Monmouth +15.2 138.4 92% 67–72 ✓
Wyoming @ Air Force -9.7 124.8 19% 63–61 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.