What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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54–22 on winners spread MAE 8.9 76 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Purdue @ Minnesota -15.3 131.3 13% 61–39 ✓
Charleston @ Monmouth -15.0 144.8 12% 69–55 ✓
Wichita State @ Memphis +9.9 140.9 82% 78–88 ✓
Maine @ Vermont +11.7 138.2 86% 45–66 ✓
NJIT @ Bryant +9.6 151.8 84% 75–87 ✓
Binghamton @ UAlbany +1.7 142.7 55% 65–54 ✗
Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee +1.7 127.1 59% 58–62 ✓
Michigan @ Maryland +4.7 140.5 70% 58–64 ✓
The Citadel @ UNC Greensboro +10.9 140.8 87% 60–70 ✓
Mercer @ VMI -2.0 136.6 40% 69–61 ✓
James Madison @ Troy +1.2 141.9 54% 89–87 ✗
UL Monroe @ Georgia Southern +5.8 134.9 72% 72–59 ✗
Georgia State @ Old Dominion +4.9 133.2 69% 58–70 ✓
App State @ Coastal Carolina -1.5 139.2 50% 84–93 ✗
Oakland @ IU Indianapolis -8.7 143.7 17% 83–77 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Wright State +0.3 148.2 44% 88–80 ✗
Cleveland State @ Northern Kentucky -0.1 130.6 51% 56–57 ✗
Northeastern @ Stony Brook -0.7 131.4 49% 79–66 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Hofstra +2.5 135.3 63% 46–70 ✓
William & Mary @ Delaware +8.5 136.4 80% 53–80 ✓
Hampton @ Drexel +15.1 136.1 88% 73–79 ✓
Towson @ North Carolina A&T -5.2 133.4 28% 79–67 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Stetson +1.8 144.3 53% 82–81 ✗
Queens University @ North Florida -4.4 154.8 44% 90–95 ✗
Liberty @ Jacksonville -5.0 123.9 27% 66–52 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Florida Gulf Coast +8.9 133.3 82% 51–55 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Sam Houston +8.9 137.6 80% 71–76 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UTSA -15.1 145.8 15% 83–64 ✓
Rice @ North Texas +12.0 130.5 82% 72–60 ✗
McNeese @ Nicholls +7.6 140.2 82% 64–73 ✓
East Texas A&M @ LSU New Orleans -2.1 146.4 32% 63–58 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian +1.6 147.7 50% 89–78 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ UT Arlington +2.9 143.6 66% 73–85 ✓
South Alabama @ Southern Miss +8.0 135.5 80% 72–76 ✓
Louisiana @ Arkansas State -7.0 136.9 22% 80–71 ✓
Marshall @ Texas State -4.9 138.1 26% 81–73 ✓
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State -7.1 146.1 26% 92–69 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota -4.1 131.7 29% 60–77 ✗
Omaha @ South Dakota State +11.1 140.2 85% 61–84 ✓
Denver @ South Dakota +0.6 145.6 58% 75–60 ✗
UT Martin @ Southeast Missouri State +4.6 156.7 68% 80–60 ✗
Youngstown State @ Green Bay -13.5 152.4 14% 86–70 ✓
Robert Morris @ Milwaukee +5.4 140.7 78% 69–77 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Davis +2.3 143.8 65% 74–72 ✗
Idaho @ Northern Arizona +2.9 140.2 63% 88–83 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado -2.8 148.0 37% 83–75 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Lipscomb +0.5 147.0 54% 62–75 ✓
Bellarmine @ Austin Peay -0.5 128.4 43% 56–45 ✓
Northwestern State @ SE Louisiana +1.4 147.7 50% 91–81 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Lamar -9.5 147.9 20% 66–68 ✗
Indiana @ Illinois +5.4 144.6 77% 80–65 ✗
Morehead State @ SIU Edwardsville +8.6 139.7 84% 67–58 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Little Rock -1.7 145.2 38% 77–75 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Gonzaga +14.6 155.2 86% 68–67 ✗
USC @ Arizona +8.7 151.5 82% 66–81 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech +4.7 140.8 70% 74–85 ✓
Washington State @ Utah +2.2 130.1 60% 63–77 ✓
Washington @ Colorado +8.5 143.0 80% 75–72 ✗
Florida International @ UTEP +6.5 137.1 74% 61–81 ✓
New Mexico State @ Southern Utah +4.7 149.6 75% 76–111 ✓
San Diego @ Portland +4.3 158.2 74% 83–88 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee State +4.8 140.7 76% 74–78 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Lindenwood -2.9 145.2 35% 81–65 ✓
Portland State @ Weber State +1.7 138.9 68% 68–84 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho State +0.5 138.5 60% 61–65 ✓
Tarleton State @ Seattle U +7.3 140.3 79% 47–67 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Santa Barbara +13.7 127.2 86% 52–72 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal Poly +1.6 125.4 59% 71–64 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Irvine +4.0 134.9 68% 68–76 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Long Beach State +1.7 147.2 55% 67–72 ✓
UCLA @ Arizona State -4.0 135.3 34% 74–62 ✓
Oregon State @ Stanford +8.8 127.9 80% 46–67 ✓
Pacific @ San Francisco +10.9 152.7 85% 57–78 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Pepperdine -13.4 139.4 13% 73–44 ✓
BYU @ Santa Clara +3.8 144.9 68% 76–83 ✓
Ball State @ Kent State +9.6 141.1 85% 65–86 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.