Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | SF -700 PAC +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +21 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SF -9.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -6.8 (+14.2) | 152.8 (-17.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -10.9 (+10.1) | 152.7 (-17.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -6.8 (+14.2) | 152.8 (-17.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -7.2 (+13.8) | 153.0 (-18.0) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SF 72 – 61 PAC |
| Feb 1, 2026 | SF 87 – 82 PAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SF 71 – 58 PAC |
| Jan 3, 2025 | SF 89 – 81 PAC |
| Feb 4, 2024 | SF 79 – 73 PAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-10 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 78.4 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#116) | -1.9 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#131) | -0.44 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#127) | -0.56 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#171) | 0.450 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | PAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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