Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU +275 ORU -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +23 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -8.4 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (+9.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -7.6 (-15.4) | 150.0 (+11.0) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -7.1 (-15.9) | 146.1 (+14.9) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -6.4 (-16.6) | 147.9 (+13.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -6.4 (-16.6) | 150.5 (+10.5) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | NDSU 76 – 65 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NDSU 86 – 58 ORU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NDSU 79 – 77 ORU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | NDSU 94 – 88 ORU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | NDSU 110 – 96 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 18-0 |
| Home | 9-4 | 16-0 |
| Away | 5-10 | 11-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#236) | 8.8 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#230) | 1.80 (#44) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#227) | 2.16 (#54) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#214) | 0.603 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 18.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 76.8% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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