Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | NOLA -125 ETAM +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETAM +5 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | ETAM -1.3 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.0 (-30.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETAM -2.2 (-2.8) | 150.0 (-29.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -2.1 (-2.9) | 146.4 (-25.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -1.6 (-3.4) | 149.9 (-28.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -1.3 (-3.7) | 152.5 (-31.5) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | NOLA 94 – 85 ETAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | NOLA 83 – 73 ETAM |
| Feb 25, 2025 | ETAM 73 – 71 NOLA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | NOLA 82 – 73 ETAM |
| Feb 10, 2024 | ETAM 89 – 83 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-9 | 5-5 |
| Away | 4-10 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#349) | -7.5 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#340) | -1.29 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#334) | -1.89 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#324) | 0.422 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | ETAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.9% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 23.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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