Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | UNT -1000 RICE +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +12 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -12.0 (-24.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -10.2 (-22.2) | 135.1 (-3.1) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -12.0 (-24.0) | 130.5 (+1.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -10.2 (-22.2) | 134.7 (-2.7) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -10.3 (-22.3) | 133.9 (-1.9) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | UNT 62 – 58 RICE |
| Feb 5, 2026 | RICE 86 – 83 UNT |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UNT 67 – 61 RICE |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UNT 81 – 59 RICE |
| Mar 10, 2024 | UNT 71 – 55 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-7 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-7 |
| Away | 10-3 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 56.3 | 78.6 |
| Massey | 7.9 (#73) | -0.3 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#36) | 0.68 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#44) | 0.48 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#32) | 0.520 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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