Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | LIP -175 EKU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -3.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -1.9 (+11.1) | 147.4 (-10.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -0.5 (+12.5) | 147.0 (-10.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -1.5 (+11.5) | 146.5 (-9.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -2.0 (+11.0) | 148.1 (-11.1) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIP 80 – 77 EKU |
| Feb 12, 2026 | LIP 75 – 61 EKU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | EKU 66 – 57 LIP |
| Jan 31, 2025 | EKU 80 – 71 LIP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | LIP 81 – 67 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 7-11 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#194) | -0.8 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#214) | 0.51 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#212) | 0.30 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#218) | 0.551 (#92) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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