Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -450 JXST +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +4 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -14.2 (-10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (-31.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -10.6 (-6.6) | 135.4 (-29.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -8.9 (-4.9) | 133.3 (-27.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -10.3 (-6.3) | 138.3 (-32.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -10.9 (-6.9) | 137.4 (-31.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2022 | JXST 79 – 71 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#138) | -8.6 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#92) | -1.44 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#97) | -1.78 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#68) | 0.412 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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