Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU -188 CSUF +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -3.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -1.0 (+4.0) | 148.7 (-9.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -1.7 (+3.3) | 147.2 (-8.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -1.4 (+3.6) | 147.4 (-8.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -1.4 (+3.6) | 148.7 (-9.7) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | CSUF 86 – 82 LBSU |
| Jan 23, 2026 | CSUF 71 – 61 LBSU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CSUF 83 – 67 LBSU |
| Dec 6, 2024 | LBSU 73 – 56 CSUF |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CSUF 76 – 71 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#170) | 1.0 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#218) | 0.05 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#187) | 0.06 (#172) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#203) | 0.503 (#169) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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