Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | ODU -188 GAST +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +12 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -6.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -5.4 (+6.6) | 133.2 (-5.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -4.9 (+7.1) | 133.2 (-5.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -4.7 (+7.3) | 133.5 (-5.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -4.6 (+7.4) | 134.1 (-6.1) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ODU 81 – 73 GAST |
| Feb 14, 2026 | ODU 78 – 55 GAST |
| Feb 23, 2025 | GAST 76 – 70 ODU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | GAST 97 – 75 ODU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | GAST 68 – 65 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 3-15 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-9 |
| Away | 6-5 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 65.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#166) | -2.7 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#161) | -0.85 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#145) | -0.94 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#148) | 0.443 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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