Betting Lines
| Spread | HCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | HCU -150 UIW +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIW +11 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | HCU -2.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HCU -0.2 (-11.2) | 149.0 (+18.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HCU -1.6 (-12.6) | 147.7 (+19.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HCU -1.4 (-12.4) | 149.6 (+17.4) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HCU -0.9 (-11.9) | 150.7 (+16.3) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | HCU 81 – 75 UIW |
| Jan 3, 2026 | UIW 73 – 56 HCU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UIW 74 – 64 HCU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | HCU 81 – 76 UIW |
| Feb 10, 2024 | HCU 86 – 83 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-12 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.0 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -15.4 (#355) | -13.6 (#351) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.21 (#343) | -2.29 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.80 (#343) | -2.97 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#339) | 0.362 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.1% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.