Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -400 MCN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -8.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -6.8 (+2.2) | 141.6 (-4.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -7.6 (+1.4) | 140.2 (-3.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -6.7 (+2.3) | 143.9 (-6.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -6.8 (+2.2) | 143.3 (-6.3) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | MCN 75 – 65 NICH |
| Jan 13, 2026 | MCN 94 – 68 NICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NICH 71 – 63 MCN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MCN 80 – 71 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | MCN 92 – 76 NICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#255) | -10.3 (#336) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#235) | -1.93 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#239) | -2.57 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#236) | 0.455 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 62.2% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.2% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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