Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -175 PRST +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +16 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -3.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -1.0 (+15.0) | 141.4 (+10.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -1.7 (+14.3) | 138.9 (+13.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -1.5 (+14.5) | 141.0 (+11.0) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -1.9 (+14.1) | 141.6 (+10.4) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | PRST 84 – 60 WEB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | PRST 95 – 90 WEB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | WEB 60 – 58 PRST |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PRST 74 – 56 WEB |
| Feb 9, 2024 | WEB 84 – 72 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-11 |
| Home | 8-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 8-8 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#225) | -2.4 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#225) | -0.22 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#237) | -0.34 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#245) | 0.494 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 19.9% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 37.5% |
Game Analysis
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