Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +550 OAK -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +6 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -8.1 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -9.0 (+3.0) | 147.6 (+12.4) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -8.7 (+2.7) | 143.7 (+16.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -8.1 (+2.1) | 145.0 (+15.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -8.3 (+2.3) | 147.1 (+12.9) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | OAK 86 – 74 IUIN |
| Jan 22, 2026 | IUIN 103 – 85 OAK |
| Feb 12, 2025 | OAK 82 – 67 IUIN |
| Jan 16, 2025 | OAK 72 – 59 IUIN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | OAK 107 – 59 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 11-9 |
| Home | 4-9 | 8-6 |
| Away | 0-15 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 77.9 |
| Massey | -18.5 (#361) | -6.7 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.46 (#359) | -0.81 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.06 (#358) | -1.19 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.345 (#361) | 0.459 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.60 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 24.2% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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