Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Under |
| Money | JAX +240 LIB -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +14 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -5.3 (-8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 116.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -6.3 (-7.7) | 122.1 (-4.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -5.0 (-9.0) | 123.9 (-5.9) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -5.2 (-8.8) | 123.6 (-5.6) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -5.3 (-8.7) | 125.7 (-7.7) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2022 | JAX 73 – 69 LIB |
| Jan 19, 2022 | LIB 88 – 49 JAX |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LIB 64 – 58 JAX |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LIB 59 – 54 JAX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JAX | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-6 | 19-1 |
| Away | 6-10 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.0 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 62.3 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#198) | 7.9 (#74) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#124) | 1.05 (#84) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#125) | 1.34 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#94) | 0.548 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JAX | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 78.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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