Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +39 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -7.0 (+32.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.1 (+21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -7.2 (+31.8) | 126.9 (+10.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -9.0 (+30.0) | 125.3 (+11.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -5.9 (+33.1) | 126.1 (+10.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -7.0 (+32.0) | 127.9 (+9.1) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2023 | LIB 66 – 52 JAX |
| Feb 12, 2022 | JAX 73 – 69 LIB |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LIB 64 – 58 JAX |
| Jan 30, 2021 | LIB 59 – 54 JAX |
Game Analysis
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