Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | PORT -175 USD +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +5 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -5.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -3.2 (+1.8) | 160.1 (+10.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -4.3 (+0.7) | 158.2 (+12.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -3.9 (+1.1) | 161.5 (+9.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -4.1 (+0.9) | 162.9 (+8.1) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | PORT 87 – 74 USD |
| Feb 12, 2026 | USD 71 – 58 PORT |
| Mar 2, 2025 | USD 82 – 80 PORT |
| Jan 24, 2025 | PORT 92 – 82 USD |
| Feb 16, 2024 | USD 71 – 66 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 4-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-9 |
| Away | 2-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 81.6 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#173) | -2.1 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#181) | -0.63 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#171) | -0.40 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#181) | 0.467 (#238) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.1% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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