Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Southland Conference · Montagne Center · January 20, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread AMCC -11.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money LAM +550 / AMCC -700
Model Predictions
Spread Total LAM win
Actual LAM +2 134 Won
Massey AMCC -11.6 (+13.6) — —
Massey Totals — 150.0 (-16.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 16% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 6% ✗
Baseline Plus ML AMCC -10.4 (+12.4) 149.2 (-15.2) 18% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ AMCC -9.5 (+11.5) 147.9 (-13.9) 20% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML AMCC -11.8 (+13.8) 149.1 (-15.1) 15% ✗
Baseline ML AMCC -9.5 (+11.5) 150.6 (-16.6) 18% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 AMCC 76 – 63 LAM
Dec 7, 2025 AMCC 57 – 49 LAM
Feb 11, 2025 LAM 67 – 56 AMCC
Dec 6, 2024 LAM 65 – 61 AMCC
Feb 25, 2024 AMCC 75 – 61 LAM

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LAM AMCC
Overall 9-22 24-11
Conference 5-13 14-4
Home 6-9 13-2
Away 2-12 7-7
Neutral 1-1 4-2
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 66.1 78.1
Avg Pts Against 75.9 73.6
Massey -16.1 (#356) -0.7 (#185)
Bradley-Terry -2.62 (#353) -0.32 (#205)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.73 (#357) -0.27 (#201)
RPI 0.346 (#358) 0.483 (#210)
Shooting & Four Factors LAM AMCC
FG% 41.6% 43.1%
3PT% 27.6% 36.0%
REB / G 35.9 34.6
OREB / G 11.9 11.1
AST / TO 0.89 1.10
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.7% 50.1%
TOV% 21.4% 18.6%
ORB% 32.5% 29.9%
FT Rate 20.4% 21.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.4% 54.8%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 23.1%
DRB% 65.3% 72.3%
Opp FT Rate 20.1% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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