Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | LIN +200 USI -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USI +16 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | USI -1.7 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -2.1 (-13.9) | 146.7 (-0.7) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -2.9 (-13.1) | 145.2 (+0.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -2.0 (-14.0) | 145.8 (+0.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USI -2.3 (-13.7) | 147.5 (-1.5) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | LIN 73 – 60 USI |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIN 83 – 80 USI |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LIN 81 – 78 USI |
| Jan 17, 2025 | USI 80 – 73 LIN |
| Mar 1, 2024 | LIN 67 – 63 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-14 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#333) | -4.5 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#334) | -0.71 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#318) | -0.97 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#335) | 0.455 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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