Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -163 PFW +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +8 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -2.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -0.6 (-8.6) | 150.4 (+17.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -0.3 (-8.3) | 148.2 (+19.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -0.9 (-8.9) | 146.7 (+21.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -1.0 (-9.0) | 146.9 (+21.1) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WRST 74 – 70 PFW |
| Feb 8, 2026 | WRST 73 – 68 PFW |
| Feb 6, 2025 | PFW 87 – 64 WRST |
| Jan 16, 2025 | PFW 120 – 113 WRST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | PFW 79 – 77 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#206) | 0.1 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#228) | 0.07 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#225) | 0.02 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#263) | 0.490 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.1% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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