Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | TNST -333 EIU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TNST +4 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | TNST -7.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNST -4.7 (-0.7) | 141.7 (+10.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNST -4.8 (-0.8) | 140.7 (+11.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNST -4.2 (-0.2) | 140.2 (+11.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TNST -4.3 (-0.3) | 140.3 (+11.7) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | TNST 77 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EIU 74 – 70 TNST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TNST 66 – 49 EIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | TNST 84 – 65 EIU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | TNST 78 – 73 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNST | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#295) | -10.8 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#323) | -1.88 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#328) | -2.36 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#346) | 0.389 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNST | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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