Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | UCSB -2000 CSUN +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +20 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -16.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -12.0 (+8.0) | 128.3 (-4.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -13.7 (+6.3) | 127.2 (-3.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -11.2 (+8.8) | 130.0 (-6.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -12.7 (+7.3) | 126.8 (-2.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CSUN 85 – 83 UCSB |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CSUN 74 – 65 UCSB |
| Mar 14, 2025 | UCSB 78 – 72 CSUN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | CSUN 103 – 77 UCSB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CSUN 78 – 71 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 4-16 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-8 |
| Away | 10-4 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#102) | -8.1 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#75) | -3.19 (#357) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#77) | -3.54 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#116) | 0.348 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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