← All models
Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
27–8 on winners
spread MAE 8.3
35 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+7.4 | 127.0 | 77% | 68–78 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.6 | 148.0 | 69% | 65–74 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.2 | 134.4 | 42% | 67–49 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.7 | 142.6 | 44% | 85–69 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.8 | 138.3 | 72% | 58–73 | ✓ |
|
|
-11.6 | 141.9 | 15% | 77–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.2 | 127.1 | 65% | 70–59 | ✗ |
|
|
-0.4 | 136.3 | 49% | 78–67 | ✓ |
|
|
-12.3 | 141.4 | 15% | 75–54 | ✓ |
|
|
+2.0 | 138.3 | 60% | 45–63 | ✓ |
|
|
-4.3 | 136.2 | 35% | 60–63 | ✗ |
|
|
+3.9 | 139.1 | 76% | 52–54 | ✓ |
|
|
-6.6 | 145.8 | 27% | 76–59 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.0 | 140.7 | 56% | 56–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+4.2 | 132.1 | 66% | 60–61 | ✓ |
|
|
+1.7 | 147.1 | 65% | 66–71 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.5 | 128.9 | 76% | 59–64 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.8 | 144.4 | 41% | 73–63 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.6 | 128.2 | 43% | 63–55 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.6 | 139.3 | 48% | 71–76 | ✗ |
|
|
-2.4 | 136.1 | 35% | 69–59 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.4 | 152.8 | 61% | 77–69 | ✗ |
|
|
-2.1 | 146.3 | 39% | 79–76 | ✓ |
|
|
+6.1 | 130.9 | 77% | 63–65 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.6 | 127.6 | 74% | 65–62 | ✗ |
|
|
+9.8 | 145.6 | 84% | 54–84 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.7 | 155.6 | 47% | 78–73 | ✗ |
|
|
-6.7 | 157.2 | 23% | 72–73 | ✗ |
|
|
+4.5 | 154.0 | 68% | 75–83 | ✓ |
|
|
+0.4 | 152.6 | 60% | 76–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+3.1 | 128.3 | 66% | 56–72 | ✓ |
|
|
+11.9 | 138.8 | 85% | 85–89 | ✓ |
|
|
-7.3 | 130.1 | 25% | 87–58 | ✓ |
|
|
-3.3 | 143.5 | 30% | 82–76 | ✓ |
|
|
-0.5 | 127.8 | 59% | 57–70 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.