Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UVU -400 ACU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +30 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -13.5 (+16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -11.6 (+18.4) | 145.6 (-7.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -9.8 (+20.2) | 145.6 (-7.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -12.2 (+17.8) | 145.1 (-7.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -12.6 (+17.4) | 145.4 (-7.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UVU 74 – 67 ACU |
| Feb 6, 2026 | UVU 68 – 55 ACU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | ACU 85 – 68 UVU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UVU 73 – 60 ACU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UVU 64 – 53 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 12-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#87) | -3.9 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#62) | -0.70 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#53) | -0.99 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#63) | 0.452 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 28.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 24.1% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 37.4% |
Game Analysis
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