Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | CHSO +140 UNCA -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +10 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | CHSO -0.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -0.2 (-9.8) | 146.8 (-10.8) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -0.8 (-9.2) | 144.4 (-8.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -0.0 (-10.0) | 148.1 (-12.1) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -0.1 (-9.9) | 150.2 (-14.2) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CHSO 92 – 75 UNCA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CHSO 86 – 83 UNCA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UNCA 80 – 60 CHSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNCA 75 – 72 CHSO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCA 69 – 61 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 16-2 |
| Home | 6-8 | 13-0 |
| Away | 3-12 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#245) | -1.0 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#292) | 0.52 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#281) | 0.40 (#144) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#298) | 0.533 (#118) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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