Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WVU -150 TCU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -3.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -3.6 (+5.4) | 149.2 (-10.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -2.6 (+6.4) | 148.0 (-9.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -2.4 (+6.6) | 146.7 (-7.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -2.3 (+6.7) | 145.8 (-6.8) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | TCU 60 – 54 WVU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | WVU 73 – 55 TCU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | TCU 65 – 60 WVU |
| Mar 7, 2024 | TCU 93 – 81 WVU |
| Feb 13, 2024 | TCU 81 – 65 WVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-4 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#25) | 12.4 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#60) | 2.76 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#37) | 3.88 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#62) | 0.574 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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