Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | LSU +163 AUB -213 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +18 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -4.8 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -3.7 (-14.3) | 135.1 (-19.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -4.2 (-13.8) | 134.4 (-18.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -3.7 (-14.3) | 135.7 (-19.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -4.5 (-13.5) | 135.1 (-19.1) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AUB 88 – 74 LSU |
| Jan 30, 2025 | AUB 87 – 74 LSU |
| Jan 13, 2024 | AUB 93 – 78 LSU |
| Dec 30, 2021 | AUB 70 – 55 LSU |
| Feb 20, 2021 | LSU 104 – 80 AUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-8 | 14-2 |
| Away | 0-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#121) | 11.7 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#56) | 2.35 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.63 (#73) | 2.79 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#66) | 0.642 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 43.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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